Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.475761 5.972880 6.529914 7.208109 8.022647 8.984736 10.231613
2025-01-05 4.731018 5.365108 6.130095 7.147130 8.508803 10.346281 13.177531
2025-01-12 4.118253 4.791380 5.645210 6.854843 8.617603 11.285253 16.161662
2025-01-19 3.645865 4.318358 5.202437 6.515753 8.562444 11.980879 19.372288
2025-01-26 3.486108 4.223573 5.238827 6.846627 9.605833 14.993604 31.050448
2025-02-02 3.446884 4.280745 5.489701 7.555217 11.569828 21.474661 81.518681
2025-02-09 3.324038 4.201254 5.521717 7.912520 13.067821 29.124830 600.458747
2025-02-16 3.192571 4.091908 5.487528 8.141538 14.433094 39.755022 NaN
2025-02-23 3.047605 3.946148 5.372303 8.188194 15.400750 52.869500 NaN
2025-03-02 2.858721 3.716451 5.090047 7.843721 15.131248 58.036222 NaN
2025-03-09 2.732719 3.575350 4.944174 7.756864 15.620277 74.612944 NaN
2025-03-16 2.576845 3.376746 4.680791 7.377115 15.023091 76.615503 NaN
2025-03-23 2.480898 3.279008 4.605658 7.445108 16.182510 133.704464 NaN
2025-03-30 2.380355 3.168100 4.498545 7.429977 17.132136 293.948962 NaN
2025-04-06 2.254698 3.008780 4.290126 7.145261 16.876101 477.005971 NaN
2025-04-13 2.132135 2.848095 4.067493 6.796382 16.204326 599.598139 NaN
2025-04-20 2.105272 2.843415 4.133266 7.164044 19.144939 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.117898 2.905317 4.332854 7.942323 26.037876 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.088209 2.892051 4.383195 8.338575 32.152677 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.047627 2.856566 4.383984 8.593521 38.565753 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.994631 2.795506 4.324920 8.646899 43.458202 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.914636 2.681975 4.145443 8.269086 40.991453 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.860160 2.612019 4.054594 8.174382 43.258764 NaN NaN